TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET - Predict

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:30 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

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N/A
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$7
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Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, providing a real-time view of where traders believe the outcome will land. It also displays a price history chart, allowing you to analyze how sentiment has shifted over time. Finally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, giving insight into recent market activity. This information helps you understand the collective prediction and level of interest in whether Zhipu AI will move up or down by the specified time.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions within this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and incentivize accurate predictions through financial stakes. This can lead to outcomes that differ from, or potentially outperform, those of individual analysts or polls. Examining the movement of this market alongside external commentary can provide a more nuanced understanding of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI’s performance. It's important to note that analyst opinions are often freely given, while this market reflects considered financial bets.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume of $0 indicates the level of participation and confidence in the market's assessment. As more traders participate, the price should converge towards a more accurate prediction of whether Zhipu AI will move up or down.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect whether Zhipu AI’s value moved up or down between 11:15 PM and 11:30 PM ET on October 25th, as determined by publicly available data. The specific data source will be verified after the event to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader news related to the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or advancements from competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected technical issues or positive breakthroughs in Zhipu AI’s technology could also cause shifts in sentiment and, therefore, the price of contracts in this market.