TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:45:00Z
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on reports and modeling, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential scenarios. If analysts are largely bullish on Zhipu AI, we might see higher prices in this market, but divergences can occur if traders anticipate factors analysts haven’t fully considered. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when dealing with complex or uncertain events.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and events related to Zhipu AI. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, driven by the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as assessed by publicly available information, moves up or down during the specified timeframe. The exact determination will rely on established benchmarks and metrics related to the company’s progress. Traders should monitor news and announcements surrounding Zhipu AI as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, technological breakthroughs, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly regarding the company's competitive position or regulatory challenges, could also influence trader sentiment. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as advancements by competitors or shifts in investor appetite, could indirectly affect the market. Any significant news impacting the overall perception of Zhipu AI’s future prospects has the potential to move this market.