TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$11

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:45 PM EST

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Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$11
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the event happening, alongside a chart displaying price fluctuations over time. The current 24-hour volume is displayed, indicating how much trading activity is occurring in this market. Total volume for the market is also available, providing insight into overall interest. This allows participants to quickly assess the market's dynamics and make informed decisions.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as comprehensive, publicly available forecasts for this particular event are limited. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst predictions. If analysts were to release forecasts, comparing them to the implied probabilities within this market could reveal interesting insights into differing expectations surrounding Zhipu AI’s performance.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance meets the defined conditions during the specified timeframe. The outcome will be determined by publicly available information and assessed against the event description. The goal is to provide a clear and objective determination based on verifiable data, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new developments, partnerships, or technological breakthroughs would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected news regarding competitors in the AI space could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any influential reports or analyses released about the broader AI industry, or specifically about Zhipu AI, could influence traders' perceptions and drive price fluctuations in this market. Positive or negative media coverage could also play a role.