TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

View
N/A
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—
$296
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Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T02:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the event happening, along with a chart showing how those prices have changed over time. The current 24-hour volume is displayed, indicating how actively this market is being traded. Total volume for the market is also available, showing $0 traded so far. This information provides a real-time view of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental research and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their money where their beliefs are. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when dealing with rapidly evolving fields like artificial intelligence. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market can sometimes anticipate shifts in sentiment or incorporate new information more quickly than traditional analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what percentage of the outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an increase or decrease in a publicly available metric during the specified timeframe of October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET. The precise metric used for verification will be determined by Predict and will be publicly available prior to resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the verified outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, technological breakthroughs, or partnerships would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news related to competitors in the AI space, changes in regulatory environments, or even influential analyst reports could also shift market sentiment. Any credible information suggesting a change in Zhipu AI's trajectory—positive or negative—is likely to be reflected in the trading activity and price fluctuations of this market.