TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$149

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 3:00 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T06:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T06:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, along with a chart of past prices. The current 24-hour volume is $149, and the total volume traded to date is $149. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding the future trajectory of Zhipu AI.

Currently, it’s important to remember that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how crowd wisdom differs from expert opinion. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI, but this market shows a more cautious outlook, it suggests traders may be incorporating different information or have a different assessment of the risks involved. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and analyst expectations can be valuable insights for informed decision-making.

On Predict, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective judgment of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the event occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price changes as new information becomes available and sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. The outcome will be determined by assessing publicly available information regarding Zhipu AI’s performance, including announcements, financial reports, and expert analyses. The final price of this market will reflect the actual outcome as determined by these sources.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Positive or negative news coverage about the company's technology or market position could also influence trader sentiment. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or advancements from competitors, could also play a role. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events could indirectly affect the market as well.