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419,363

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$29

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 4:00 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T07:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T07:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $28, and total volume to date is $29. Traders on Predict are expressing their beliefs about whether Zhipu AI will experience an increase or decrease in value by the specified resolution date. The dashboard provides a visual representation of these predictions, allowing users to monitor how sentiment shifts over time. This information is updated in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts related to this market.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst reports, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and viewpoints. While analysts may focus on specific fundamental factors, the wisdom of the crowd reflected in this market can capture more nuanced or less-publicized signals. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty surrounding Zhipu AI's future performance.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Zhipu AI will go up, the higher the price of contracts predicting an increase will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI's valuation during the specified timeframe. This market will determine whether Zhipu AI’s value increases or decreases during the period leading up to the resolution date. The final outcome will be determined by publicly available data and verified against credible sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence sector, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs in competing technologies, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic news or shifts in investor sentiment towards tech stocks could also play a role in shaping the odds within this market. Any news impacting the perceived future prospects of Zhipu AI is likely to be reflected in the market price.