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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $9. This provides a quick overview of market activity and sentiment. The total volume traded to date is $9, indicating the overall interest in this event. This information is updated in real-time, giving you the latest view of the market.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets, like this one, often aggregate a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can be more accurate than individual predictions. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s performance, we might expect to see increasing demand for 'yes' outcomes in this market, driving up those odds. Conversely, negative sentiment could lead to lower odds. It’s a dynamic relationship, but this market provides a real-time, quantifiable measure of belief.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the odds reflect the collective judgment of all participants, rather than being set by a fixed algorithm or bookmaker. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability of the event occurring.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether Zhipu AI’s stock price moved up or down between 3:30AM and 3:45AM ET on October 21st. The final price at 3:45AM ET will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified to ensure accuracy. This provides a clear and objective basis for settling the market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new products, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or even overall economic news, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected regulatory changes or competitive pressures could also shift the odds. Finally, any significant shifts in investor confidence in the Chinese tech market could move this market, as Zhipu AI is a Chinese company.