TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T03:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T03:00:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide opinions based on fundamental research, this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If analysts are largely bullish on Zhipu AI, you might expect to see higher prices in this market, but it’s not always the case. The wisdom of the crowd can sometimes outperform individual expert opinions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives prices up, signaling greater confidence in a positive outcome, while increased selling pressure drives prices down. This creates a constantly updated assessment of Zhipu AI’s prospects.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as measured during the specified timeframe of October 21, 11PM-11:15PM ET, is considered “up” or “down” based on publicly available data. The specific criteria for determining “up” or “down” will be based on observable changes in key metrics related to Zhipu AI’s operations and public perception during that period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news related to regulatory scrutiny or competitive pressures could also shift market sentiment. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as advancements in competing technologies or changes in investor appetite for AI stocks, could also influence trading activity. Any significant media coverage or analyst reports concerning Zhipu AI’s performance or future prospects could also cause price fluctuations.