TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$632

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 11:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T03:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T03:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the outcome. Currently, the total volume for this market is $632, with $621 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity, allowing you to assess how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard is your central hub for monitoring this specific prediction market.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as comprehensive, publicly available forecasts for Zhipu AI’s performance are limited. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. If analysts predict a certain trajectory for Zhipu AI, it will be interesting to observe whether this market’s price action aligns with or diverges from those expectations over time. This comparison can reveal insights into market confidence.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating higher confidence, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of traders.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance moves up or down during the specified timeframe of October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, and traders who correctly predicted the direction will profit based on the odds at the time of their trade. This is a short-term market focused on a specific, limited window of activity.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market prior to Oct 22, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to the broader AI industry, regulatory changes, or competitor actions could also influence the market. Furthermore, shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI stocks or technological innovation could play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.