TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10PM-10:15PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$135

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10PM-10:15PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10PM-10:15PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

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·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 10:15 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10PM-10:15PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T02:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T02:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the event occurring, along with a chart showing how those prices have changed over time. The 24-hour volume, currently at $134, indicates how much trading activity has taken place recently. Total volume for this market is $135, reflecting overall interest. This information helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and typical analyst forecasts, as analyst opinions on Zhipu AI’s near-term performance are varied and often qualitative. However, prediction markets like this one aggregate the informed opinions of many individuals, potentially offering a more accurate signal than any single analyst’s prediction. The collective wisdom reflected in this market’s pricing can be a useful data point when evaluating broader expectations for Zhipu AI’s trajectory.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the event’s outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of the event happening.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's stock price moves up or down during the specified 10PM-10:15PM ET window on October 21st. The final price movement during that timeframe will determine the winning outcome in this market. The market will then settle based on that verified result.

Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major news releases concerning Zhipu AI, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or significant partnerships, could trigger price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or overall economic news, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory developments or competitive pressures could also play a role. Finally, shifts in investor sentiment, potentially driven by social media or influential analysts, could impact the price of contracts in this market.