TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:15 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T07:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T07:00:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on company reports and expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of information and viewpoints. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions about future events, risk tolerance, or access to unique data. It’s common to see this market anticipating outcomes that diverge from consensus analyst expectations, offering a potentially valuable alternative signal.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations, distinct from static polls or surveys, and is entirely driven by user activity on Predict.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of November 2, 2AM-2:15AM ET. The final price will reflect whether the majority of traders correctly predicted the direction of Zhipu AI’s performance during that period, as determined by the market’s activity on Predict.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or competitor actions, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the Chinese tech sector or global economic conditions could also play a role, as traders adjust their expectations based on evolving circumstances.