TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 1:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T06:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T06:30:00Z
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as opinions on Zhipu AI's future trajectory vary widely. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI's development and market position, we might expect to see the 'yes' side of this market priced higher. Conversely, if analysts express concerns, the 'no' side could be favored. It's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information before it's reflected in traditional analysis.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward trend by November 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability of the event occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether Zhipu AI demonstrates an upward trend during the specified timeframe. The determination will be based on publicly available data regarding the company's performance, announcements, and market perception. The resolution will reflect a clear consensus on whether an upward trend occurred, as determined by available information at that time.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely cause movement. Positive news, such as exceeding user growth targets or securing significant funding, could push the market towards the 'yes' side. Conversely, negative news, like disappointing earnings or increased competition, could favor the 'no' side. Broader trends in the AI industry and overall market sentiment towards technology stocks could also influence trading activity in this market.