TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 2, 12AM-12:15AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 2, 12AM-12:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 2, 12AM-12:15AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

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·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 12:15 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 2, 12AM-12:15AM ET

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Settled
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Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T05:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T05:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $0, and the total volume for this market is $0. Traders on Predict are expressing their beliefs about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend between November 2, 12AM and 12:15AM ET. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how these beliefs are shifting in real-time, allowing you to monitor the market's sentiment and activity.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional analyst reports. However, discrepancies can arise if analysts possess specialized knowledge or if the market is heavily influenced by short-term sentiment. It's worth noting that analysts' predictions are often point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution of possible outcomes, offering a more nuanced view.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of Zhipu AI moving up or down within the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating higher confidence in the outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance demonstrates an upward or downward trend during the period of November 2, 12AM-12:15AM ET. The exact methodology for determining this trend will be based on publicly available data and assessed against established benchmarks. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news related to the broader AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI stocks or negative press coverage concerning Zhipu AI’s technology could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.