TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T05:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T05:30:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically targeting the short-term performance of Zhipu AI as this market frames it. However, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially incorporating information and perspectives not captured in traditional analyst reports. If analyst opinions become available, comparing them to the probabilities implied by this market will be insightful. This comparison can reveal whether the market anticipates a different trajectory than experts predict, offering a unique perspective on potential outcomes.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the future outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance meets the conditions defined by the market's parameters during the specified timeframe. The outcome will be determined by publicly available data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. This timeframe allows for sufficient data collection and verification to establish a definitive result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader developments in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected news regarding the Chinese technology sector or economic conditions could also influence trading activity in this market. Positive or negative media coverage and analyst reports, if any become available, could also contribute to price fluctuations.