TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there is limited direct comparison data between this market and external analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s performance. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can reflect real-time information more quickly than traditional analyst reports. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and expert opinions can highlight areas of disagreement or differing levels of confidence. It's valuable to consider both sources of information when evaluating potential outcomes for Zhipu AI.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of Zhipu AI’s performance. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance moves up or down during the specified time window of November 1, 9PM-9:15PM ET. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, providing a clear measure of the market’s predictive accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or technological advancements would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news related to competitors in the AI space, or changes in regulatory policies affecting the industry, could also shift market sentiment. Finally, broader market trends in technology stocks and investor confidence in the AI sector will play a role in shaping the price action of this market.