TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:45:00Z
Currently, it's important to remember that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how market-based predictions differ from expert opinions. If analysts generally believe Zhipu AI will see substantial growth, but this market shows lower probabilities for an 'up' outcome, it suggests traders may have different information or interpretations. This discrepancy can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement regarding the future performance of Zhipu AI.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will be up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will drive the price up (indicating a higher probability of 'up'), while increased selling pressure will drive it down.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI's stock price between the start and end of the specified trading window, November 1, 9:45PM-10PM ET. The direction of that change – whether it’s up or down – will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s settlement data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also cause shifts in the odds. Any news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s future prospects could drive volume and price changes.