TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:45 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T02:30:00Z
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI. While analysts offer opinions on the company’s future prospects, this market represents a collective prediction from a diverse group of traders. The wisdom of the crowd often provides a different perspective than individual expert opinions. It’s important to remember that forecasts are not always accurate, and this market reflects real-time adjustments based on new information and evolving sentiment.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, essentially creating a real-time probability assessment of the event's outcome. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in an upward trend, while lower prices suggest a belief in a downward trend.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price between 9:30 PM and 9:45 PM ET on November 1st. A positive change will result in a payout for those who bet on 'Up', while a negative or zero change will result in a payout for those who bet on 'Down'. The specific details of the price change will be verified against reliable financial data sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new product launches, partnerships, financial performance, or regulatory changes, could influence trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the AI sector or overall economic conditions could also play a role. Unexpected developments in the competitive landscape, or even significant social media discussions surrounding the company, could also cause shifts in the price of this market.