TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10PM-10:15PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$222

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10PM-10:15PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10PM-10:15PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 10:15 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10PM-10:15PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$30
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the event outcome, along with a record of past price fluctuations. The 24-hour volume, currently at $223, indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently. Overall volume for this market is $222. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential liquidity as you consider your own predictions.

Currently, it's important to note that there is limited publicly available data comparing prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s performance. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. This market allows you to see what a collective of informed traders believes, which may differ from the views of a single expert or firm. Examining external forecasts alongside trading activity in this market can provide a more comprehensive view.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments. Essentially, the price represents the collective forecast of all traders involved in the Zhipu AI market.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance meets the specified criteria during the designated timeframe of November 1, 10PM-10:15PM ET. The result will be determined by publicly available data and assessed against the market conditions at the time of the event. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions and the final outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new developments, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly regarding the company’s technological advancements or competitive positioning, could also move the market. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected technical issues or delays could also shift the odds in this market.