TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:45:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide qualitative assessments or point estimates, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing beliefs as probabilities. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s prospects, we might expect to see the 'Yes' side of this market trading at higher probabilities. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s valuable to consider both viewpoints when forming your own opinion.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward trend by the specified date. The price of these contracts directly translates into implied probabilities. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more demand there is for the 'Yes' side, the higher the price and the greater the implied probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on the 'Yes' side lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price experiences an upward trend during the specified timeframe of November 1, 10:45PM-11PM ET. The determination will rely on publicly available data and will be assessed against established criteria for defining an upward trend. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial performance would undoubtedly impact trading activity. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events could create volatility and affect investor confidence. Positive or negative press coverage, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even social media buzz could all contribute to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.