TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$12

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 10:30 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$30
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T03:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, displaying the probability of the price going up or down as determined by traders. It also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time. Finally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $12, giving an indication of how actively this market is being traded. Total volume for this market is $12.

Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically targeting the short-term price movement of Zhipu AI during the defined timeframe. Therefore, a direct comparison isn’t possible. However, this market provides a unique, real-time assessment of collective belief, aggregating the insights of numerous traders. This differs from individual analyst opinions, which can be subject to biases or limited information. The market reflects what participants believe will happen, offering a distinct perspective.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI’s price will be up or down during the specified period. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the price of Zhipu AI was higher or lower at 10:30 PM ET on November 1st than at 10:15 PM ET on the same date. The final price change will be verified against credible public sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner of this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major news announcements regarding Zhipu AI, such as new product releases, partnerships, or financial results, would likely impact trading activity. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or negative press concerning the company's technology, could also influence sentiment. Unexpected regulatory changes or shifts in investor confidence in Chinese tech stocks could also play a role in the price movement of this market.