TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:18h:14m
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This event tracks the price of XRP at a specific future moment, determining the outcome based on whether the price falls within any of several defined ranges at that exact time. The resolution hinges on precise price data from a recognized benchmark source.
The event resolves based on the simple average price of XRP, as measured by the CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI), during the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5:00 PM EST on November 6, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with one market designated for prices at or below $0.71999 and another for prices above $1.6799. If the price falls within any of the defined intervals at the exact specified time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'. Should data be unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, all affected markets resolve to 'No'. The Exchange ensures clarity regarding any multiple versions of the cryptocurrency being tracked. Continuous pricing data from CF Benchmarks underpins the resolution process, providing real-time index values for major cryptocurrencies.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where XRP will trade on November 6, 2026. These odds represent a different kind of expectation than you might find in traditional surveys or analyst reports. Instead of directly asking people for a price point, this market incentivizes participants to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, the price discovery process in this market can be seen as a more robust signal, as it’s backed by real financial stakes. It’s a way to measure conviction about future price movements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for XRP. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment. The current contracts available represent various potential price points for XRP at the specified date and time.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, at 5pm EST. The outcome will be determined by the price of XRP at that specific time, verified against credible public reporting. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the price range XRP falls within at the resolution time. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches, as volatility may increase and prices could shift rapidly. It’s important to understand the resolution time to manage your positions effectively.
Several factors could significantly impact the XRP price market. Major regulatory decisions regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly in the United States, would likely cause substantial price movement. Significant technological advancements or partnerships involving Ripple, the company behind XRP, could also influence the market. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could affect investor sentiment towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Finally, any major news events impacting the overall crypto market, like a large-scale security breach or the approval of a Bitcoin ETF, could also move this market.