TOTAL VOLUME:

$140.7b

24H VOL:

$152,035,205

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,543,053,589

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,903,066

424,369

Markets across

33,316

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What price will XRP hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$649,865
Volume 24h:
$12,202
326%
Liquidity:
$566,477
4%
Open interest:
$119,854
5%

↓ 1.20

 - Polymarket

↓ 1.20 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% High Projected APY: 871% 81 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 1.20

Trade
48%
Yes 60¢No 57¢
17¢
$21,351
$5,568
0%
184%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $2.00

Trade
35%
Yes 38¢No 68¢
6¢
N/A
$52,652
0%
9%
$31,809
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $2.50

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 78¢
5¢
N/A
$21,192
0%
9%
$8,115
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↓ 1.00

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 26¢No 77¢
3¢
$18,105
$6,416
3%
14%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $3.50

Trade
18%
5%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
6¢
N/A
$16,570
9%
24%
$7,853
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $5.50

Trade
15%
6%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
N/A
$8,084
4%
14%
$6,532
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 2.60

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 17¢No 90¢
7¢
$23,141
$32,671
0%
10%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $4.50

Trade
12%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
N/A
$5,413
0%
7%
$3,124
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $3.00

Trade
16%
3%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
N/A
$45,222
0.94%
8%
$23,361
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 3.00

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 6¢No 97.6¢
3.6¢
$33,603
$25,753
5%
15%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
11.7%
Yes 13¢No 90.3¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 3.6¢
polymarket

↓ 0.80

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
$23,009
$19,151
0%
2%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $6.50

Trade
10%
3%
Yes 20¢No 91¢
11¢
N/A
$1,625
0.69%
5%
$1,221
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $7.00

Trade
10%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
N/A
$15,541
16%
123%
$10,800
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 2.80

Trade
10%
2%
Yes 13.2¢No 93.4¢
6.6¢
$19,798
$17,013
0.82%
1%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $4.00

Trade
13%
Yes 17¢No 87¢
4¢
N/A
$10,652
0.54%
13%
$6,977
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 4.00

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.7¢No 96.8¢
1.5¢
$38,515
$5,589
1%
16%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.9%
Yes 10.9¢No 91.9¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Above $6.00

Trade
10%
Yes 12¢No 91¢
3¢
N/A
$6,897
0.12%
10%
$5,110
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 6.00

Trade
2%
Yes 3.3¢No 99.3¢
2.6¢
$21,554
$259
1%
51%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.7%
Yes 7.7¢No 95.2¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

↓ 0.60

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
$28,017
$23,123
0.09%
2%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 3.20

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 95.8¢
1.8¢
$23,895
$8,611
0%
0.94%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 3.80

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 6¢No 96.2¢
2.2¢
$27,214
$8,421
0%
4%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 3.40

Trade
5%
Yes 5.8¢No 96.4¢
2.2¢
$27,136
$7,856
0%
0.46%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 3.60

Trade
4%
Yes 5.5¢No 98.3¢
3.8¢
$27,324
$8,830
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $5.00

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
2¢
N/A
$13,249
16%
38%
$9,809
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

↑ 5.00

Trade
2%
2%
Yes 3¢No 98.8¢
1.8¢
$60,598
$144,568
0.31%
2%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 8.5¢No 93.4¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks the price of XRP (Ripple) by December 31, 2026, forecasting whether it will dip to $1.20 or exceed $2.00. Currently, the aggregated probability from Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 61.0% chance that XRP will dip to $1.20 by the resolution date. The market utilizes price data from Binance.com as its resolution source. With a resolution date estimate of January 1, 2027, traders should watch the November 24, 2025, start of the Binance resolution window to gauge potential price movements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets resolve if the price is *ever* above a threshold, while Polymarket requires the price to be reached within a defined window and using 1-minute candle data.Hero tip: Consider the differing resolution criteria when trading. Kalshi's 'ever' condition is less stringent than Polymarket's timeframe and data granularity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on 1-minute Binance candles between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, using 'High' or 'Low' prices. "This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle...has a final “High” or “Low” price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price."
  • Kalshi: Resolves if the price of XRP *ever* reaches a certain level through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. "If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $X.XX, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will XRP hit before 2027?

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the price of XRP exceeds specified thresholds at any moment between market issuance and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. For each minute throughout the duration, a settlement value is derived from minute-by-minute price data, specifically the CF XRPUSD_RTI price feed. To mitigate the influence of extreme price fluctuations, the top 20% and bottom 20% of all collected minute-by-minute prices are excluded, and the average of the remaining values (trimmed mean) is calculated. If, at any point, this trimmed mean surpasses the threshold for any of the defined price levels, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, all affected markets resolve to No. The exchange specifies the exact version or ticker of XRP being tracked in cases of multiple versions.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the XRP price in 2026 market aggregates forecasts from traders on where the price of XRP will land by the end of 2026. Currently, the consensus view shows a wide range of possibilities, with total volume reaching $649,865 and 24-hour volume at $8,219. Polymarket currently favors Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026? at 48.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026? at 35.0%. This dashboard provides a combined view of these predictions, offering a more comprehensive understanding of market sentiment than looking at either platform in isolation.

Prediction market odds reflect a probabilistic assessment of future events, in this case, the XRP price in 2026. Unlike traditional financial instruments, these markets allow traders to express beliefs about the likelihood of different price levels. This differs from spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and immediate supply/demand. The implied probabilities within this market can be compared to forecasts from financial analysts and models, providing a unique perspective on potential price movements. A significant difference between the market price and spot price could indicate disagreement or uncertainty about future XRP performance.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the XRP price in 2026 market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity, which can lead to differing opinions and price discovery. Additionally, the specific contract designs on each platform – including the available outcomes and settlement mechanisms – can influence trading behavior. For example, differing fee structures or minimum trade sizes could attract different types of traders, resulting in price discrepancies. These variations highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when evaluating future price expectations.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available source for XRP pricing, ensuring transparency and accuracy. The market will reflect whether the actual XRP price at the specified time falls within the ranges offered by the various outcomes available on Polymarket and Kalshi. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements.

Numerous signals and events could significantly influence this market. Regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as rulings on its security status, are major catalysts. Major partnerships or adoption announcements by companies integrating XRP into their systems could also drive price movement. Broader macroeconomic trends, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market will also play a role. Finally, significant technological advancements related to the XRP Ledger or competing blockchain technologies could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds in this market.