TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.5b

24H VOL:

$88,584,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,156,797,162

328,564

Markets across

33,078

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,111

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

74%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This group of markets predicts whether XRP will reach or dip to specific price levels by December 31, 2026. The outcomes depend on the price action of XRP within the defined timeframe and thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on whether XRP’s price reaches or dips to specified levels at any point between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET.Primary resolution logic: Binance 1-minute candle data for Polymarket; unspecified for Kalshi

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if XRP’s price reaches or dips to the specified level at any time during the defined period
  • Markets resolve to 'No' if the price never reaches or dips to the specified level during the defined period

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Time Zone: All times are referenced in ET timezone for Polymarket; Kalshi does not specify a timezone but uses ET
  • Data Source: Polymarket uses Binance 1-minute candle data; Kalshi uses an unspecified source but likely similar market data
Timing: Resolution occurs after December 31, 2026, once all price data for the defined period is availableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

What price will XRP hit before 2027?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for XRP throughout the year 2026, with each threshold representing a distinct market outcome. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if XRP’s price falls below the specified level at any point after market issuance and before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Prices are assessed continuously on a minute-by-minute basis using CF XRPUSD_RTI data. To mitigate the impact of extreme price spikes or drops, the methodology trims the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset for each minute before calculating a trimmed mean. If this adjusted mean falls below the threshold for any single minute, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, the affected markets resolve to 'No.' The exchange specifies the exact XRP version or ticker being tracked, ensuring clarity in measurement. All markets share this consistent evaluation framework, differing only in their respective price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP price in 2026 market aggregates betting data across multiple venues, showing real-time odds and volume. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various price outcomes for XRP by the end of 2026. You can see total volume of $302,307 and 24-hour volume of $575, plus a consensus view that reflects combined market sentiment. This gives a clear picture of where prediction markets stand on XRP’s potential performance over the next few years.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking perspective that often diverges from current spot prices. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity and market sentiment, this market incorporates expectations about future events, regulatory changes, and technological developments that could influence XRP’s value. Traders may price in bull or bear scenarios that aren’t yet reflected in immediate exchange prices. Comparing the two can reveal market optimism or caution about XRP’s long-term trajectory.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user bases, available markets, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026? at 74.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.75 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026? at 21.0%. Factors such as liquidity, regional participation, and market design can create a spread of 53.0 between the two venues, reflecting diverse trader perspectives on XRP’s future price path.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of XRP on the specified date will be compared against the market’s defined thresholds, and the result will be settled based on widely accepted data sources. Traders can track updates as we approach the resolution window to see how market expectations are shaping up.

Several signals could shift odds in this market over the next year. Regulatory announcements, major adoption deals, updates to XRP’s underlying technology, or broader cryptocurrency market trends may all influence trader sentiment. Macroeconomic factors and exchange-specific developments can also create volatility. As we near Jan 1, 2027, any news that impacts XRP’s perceived value or usage could cause rapid shifts in market probabilities.