TOTAL VOLUME:

$140.7b

24H VOL:

$152,035,205

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,543,053,589

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,903,066

424,369

Markets across

33,316

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Nov 27, 2025, 12:25 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$953,379
Volume 24h:
$1,813
5,938%
Liquidity:
$525,258
8%
Open interest:
$28,108N/A

$50M

 - Polymarket

$50M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 26¢ buys you 385 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $385 | Net Profit: $285 Multiplier: 3.85x | ROI: 285% APY not meaningful 81 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$50M

Trade
25%
1%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
$14,900
$19,108
0%
15%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

$100M

Trade
17%
Yes 17.7¢No 83.6¢
1.3¢
$11,407
$7,936
0%
17%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
6%
Yes 6.4¢No 94.4¢
0.8¢
$11,409
$2,624
4%
4%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

$800M

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 5.4¢No 95.5¢
0.9¢
$28,820
$21,983
0.11%
4%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$800M

Trade
4%
Yes 7¢No 98.6¢
5.6¢
$51,781
$67,609
0.08%
0.08%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.4%
Yes 6.2¢No 97.1¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 5.6¢
polymarket

$300M

Trade
5%
Yes 5.4¢No 95.8¢
1.2¢
$27,701
$45,240
0%
0.38%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$300M

Trade
4%
Yes 5.5¢No 97.7¢
3.2¢
$48,735
$122,516
0.63%
0.64%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.1%
Yes 5.5¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 3.2¢
polymarket

$500M

Trade
5%
Yes 5.6¢No 94.9¢
0.5¢
$27,140
$30,654
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$500M

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 97.1¢
0.1¢
$48,817
$123,818
0.69%
0.7%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 4.3¢No 96¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.5¢
polymarket

$1B

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 96.1¢
0.1¢
$23,432
$16,006
0%
3%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$1B

Trade
2%
Yes 3.2¢No 99¢
2.2¢
$62,005
$109,355
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.3%
Yes 3.6¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 2.2¢
polymarket

$2B

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.4¢
0.5¢
$24,421
$12,922
0.19%
0.62%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$2B

Trade
2%
Yes 3.5¢No 99.2¢
2.7¢
$62,224
$145,996
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.3%
Yes 3.8¢No 97.8¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 2.7¢
polymarket

$3B

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99.4¢
1.4¢
$19,980
$13,970
0%
0.41%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$3B

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.7¢
1¢
$62,485
$213,643
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.8%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 1.4¢
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Pacifica’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) exceeding $50M one day after its token launch. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict gives a 29.0% probability to Pacifica FDV being above $50M, with a 18.0% probability for it being above $100M. Resolution will be based on the most liquid price source available, and relies on a publicly tradable token. Keep an eye on the token launch date, as markets will resolve if Pacifica doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the same definition of FDV, launch criteria, and resolution timing, with a shared fallback condition for a failed launch.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available

Core resolution logic:

  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price.
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch, provided the token is actively and publicly tradable.
  • If Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. A simple token creation without trading does not trigger resolution.
  • Price Source Dispute: If multiple liquid price sources exist, the most liquid will be used. Disputes about liquidity will be resolved by PredictionHero's internal assessment.
  • Failed Launch: If Pacifica fails to launch a token by December 31, 2026, all markets resolve to 'No', regardless of any prior trading activity.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch, or December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occurs.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, the Pacifica FDV market tracks predictions on whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of Pacifica will exceed a certain threshold one day after its launch. Currently, this market aggregates trading volume of $953,379 and 24-hour volume of $1,813 across both platforms. The consensus view is complex, as Polymarket currently favors Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 25.0%, while Predict leans toward Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? at 4.2%. This dashboard provides a consolidated view of these predictions, allowing traders to assess market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the probability of a future event. In the case of Pacifica's FDV, the price of 'yes' or 'no' outcomes reflects expectations about the project’s potential success and market valuation. These odds can differ from traditional spot price expectations, as they incorporate a broader range of factors, including sentiment, news flow, and potential catalysts. The efficiency of this market means prices quickly adjust to new information, potentially offering insights beyond simple price discovery.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Pacifica FDV market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and risk appetite, leading to varying interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, the liquidity and order book dynamics on each platform can influence price formation. Differences in platform fees and trading interfaces may also contribute to these discrepancies. While both platforms address the same question, these factors create distinct market environments.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the Pacifica FDV one day after its official launch, as determined by publicly available data sources. The specific FDV value will be assessed against the threshold defined within the market's parameters. Traders can monitor relevant sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, and the outcome will be clearly communicated on both Polymarket and Predict.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Key announcements from the Pacifica team, such as partnerships, technological advancements, or user adoption metrics, would likely influence trading activity. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, particularly those affecting similar projects, could also play a role. Unexpected news events, regulatory changes, or security vulnerabilities related to Pacifica could also cause substantial price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in sentiment before Jan 1, 2027.