TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$98,950,588

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,171,226,487

333,737

Markets across

33,115

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,155

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?

12%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Limitless, Polymarket, Predict) apply identical resolution criteria, timing, FDV calculation methodology, and launch qualification requirements with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Pacifica token; official Pacifica Twitter (@pacifica_fi) for launch confirmation

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch
  • FDV is calculated as: total token supply multiplied by token price
  • Measurement occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Market resolves Yes if FDV exceeds the specified threshold; No otherwise
  • If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to No
  • Price source is the most liquid available at time of measurement

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; mere announcement or pre-trading does not qualify
  • Timing Precision: Resolution occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, not 24 hours after launch time
  • Liquidity Source Selection: If multiple price sources exist, the most liquid source is used; this prevents manipulation via low-volume exchanges
  • Deadline Non-Launch: If Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this group resolve to No
  • Supply Verification: Total token supply must be verifiable from official Pacifica sources or blockchain data; FDV calculation requires both supply and price certainty
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Pacifica token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to No.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

The Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Pacifica's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within one day of its launch. The dashboard displays current implied probability, historical price movements, and $2,769 in 24-hour volume. This live data reflects trader sentiment on Pacifica's immediate post-launch market valuation, updated continuously as new trades execute. The dashboard helps traders monitor consensus expectations and identify shifts in market conviction around Pacifica's opening-day FDV performance.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket represent aggregated trader expectations for Pacifica's one-day post-launch FDV, which may diverge from traditional spot price forecasts or analyst estimates. While spot markets react to real-time supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction about whether a specific FDV threshold will be breached. Prediction odds tend to embed more tail-risk scenarios and reflect diverse trader views on launch momentum, token distribution, and early liquidity conditions. Comparing these odds to analyst price targets or pre-launch valuation models can reveal whether markets are pricing in more bullish or conservative outcomes than consensus expectations.

On Polymarket, Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no positions. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of yes-share volume to total volume, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Pacifica's FDV will exceed the threshold one day post-launch. Polymarket's AMM-based pricing mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery, allowing real-time entry and exit at market rates.

The Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by Pacifica's fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official launch. The outcome hinges on whether the FDV at that snapshot exceeds the specified threshold. Market participants should monitor Pacifica's launch announcement and official FDV reporting to understand the exact timing and measurement methodology. Early clarity on launch date and FDV calculation will be critical for traders positioning ahead of resolution.

Key signals that could shift odds include Pacifica's official launch date announcement, pre-launch token allocation details, and early exchange listing decisions. Market sentiment around competing projects, broader crypto market conditions, and macroeconomic factors will influence perceived launch-day demand. Major partnerships, regulatory updates, or security audits released before launch could boost or dampen trader conviction. Early trading activity on decentralized exchanges or pre-launch trading venues may provide price discovery signals. Community engagement metrics and social sentiment around Pacifica's roadmap and tokenomics will also shape expectations for one-day FDV performance.