TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the XRP price on October 9. These expectations are formed by traders directly wagering on outcomes, offering a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While polls and analysts may offer opinions based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market represents a 'wisdom of the crowd' view, where capital is at stake. This creates a strong incentive for accurate predictions, potentially offering a more insightful signal than other sources of information.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 9 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange. The specific price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s documented procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted price range aligns with the actual XRP price at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments related to XRP, such as SEC rulings or positive announcements from key jurisdictions, could impact trader sentiment. Significant technological advancements or partnerships involving the XRP network could also drive price movement. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market trends, could also influence this market. Unexpected events or announcements from Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, are also likely to cause shifts in the probabilities.