TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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XRP price on October 9?
polymarket

XRP price on October 9?

Volume:
$2,113

1.30-1.40

 - Polymarket

1.30-1.40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 12:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.50-1.60

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90-2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.10

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80-1.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price market tracks the current probabilities of various price ranges for XRP on October 9. You’ll find a visualization of the implied probabilities, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,399. The total volume traded in this market is $2,113. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how predictions are evolving as we approach the resolution date. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of where traders believe the XRP price will land.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the XRP price on October 9. These expectations are formed by traders directly wagering on outcomes, offering a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst forecasts. While polls and analysts may offer opinions based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market represents a 'wisdom of the crowd' view, where capital is at stake. This creates a strong incentive for accurate predictions, potentially offering a more insightful signal than other sources of information.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 9 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange. The specific price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s documented procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted price range aligns with the actual XRP price at resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments related to XRP, such as SEC rulings or positive announcements from key jurisdictions, could impact trader sentiment. Significant technological advancements or partnerships involving the XRP network could also drive price movement. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market trends, could also influence this market. Unexpected events or announcements from Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, are also likely to cause shifts in the probabilities.