TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price on October 8. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of XRP falling within specific price bands. This differs from simply looking at current spot prices or analyst predictions, as it’s a weighted estimate based on real money being put behind different outcomes. If the market strongly believes XRP will rise, the odds for higher price ranges will increase, and vice versa. This provides a unique perspective on future price expectations, distinct from traditional financial forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of XRP as reported by a credible public source at that time. The final price will be verified against widely recognized and publicly available data feeds. The market will then settle based on which price range the actual XRP price falls into on October 8. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world price of XRP at the designated time. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 8, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal rulings or partnerships, would likely cause price fluctuations and shift the market odds. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or regulatory changes impacting the crypto space could also move the market. Finally, significant trading volume or large positions taken by influential traders on Polymarket could also influence the price and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.