TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where XRP will be priced on October 7. These odds often differ from simple spot price expectations or analyst predictions, as they represent a weighted average of many individual opinions. This market aggregates information from traders who have 'skin in the game,' potentially offering a more accurate signal than polls or surveys. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk tolerances, access to information, and interpretations of market events influencing XRP’s value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the XRP price on October 7. The total volume traded influences the liquidity and reliability of the price signal.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of XRP on October 7 will be sourced from a widely-recognized exchange and used to determine which outcome in this market is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will be paid out according to the contract terms. It's important to monitor news and developments related to XRP leading up to the resolution date.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding regulatory decisions concerning XRP, partnerships announced by Ripple, or broader cryptocurrency market trends could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases or geopolitical events could also influence the price of XRP and, consequently, the odds in this market. Keep an eye on developments within the XRP ecosystem and the overall crypto space for potential catalysts that could drive price movements before Oct 7, 2026.