TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

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4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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XRP price on October 4?
polymarket

XRP price on October 4?

Volume:
$2,151

1.50-1.60

 - Polymarket

1.50-1.60 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.50-1.60

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.60-1.70

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90-2.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80-1.90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>2.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the XRP price market dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the probability of different price outcomes for XRP on October 4. You’ll find the current implied probabilities, a price history chart reflecting market sentiment, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $685. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded to date, which is $2,151. This allows you to quickly assess the overall market interest and how opinions are shifting as we approach the resolution date.

Currently, prediction market odds represent a collective forecast of the XRP price on October 4, differing from simple spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect the immediate cost of XRP, this market aggregates diverse opinions about future price movements. If a significant number of traders believe the price will increase, the odds for higher price ranges will rise, and vice versa. This collective intelligence can provide a unique perspective compared to individual analyst predictions or traditional polling data regarding XRP's future value.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes for XRP. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view. The current implied probabilities are based on the relative prices of these shares, offering a dynamic assessment of market sentiment regarding XRP’s future price.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 4 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange providing XRP trading data. The market will then settle based on which price range accurately reflects the actual XRP price at the specified time. Traders holding shares in the winning price range will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing ranges will not.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal developments or partnerships, could trigger price swings. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or regulatory announcements related to digital assets could also shift the market. Any significant shifts in trading volume or large trades on Polymarket could also indicate changing expectations and move the odds.