TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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XRP price on October 31?
polymarket

XRP price on October 31?

Volume:
$1,185

1.20-1.30

 - Polymarket

1.20-1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 12:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.70

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.90-1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.80-0.90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50-1.60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, the odds in this market suggest a very high level of confidence that the price of XRP will remain below $0.80 by Oct 31, 2026. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and short-term trading activity. While spot prices fluctuate constantly, this market represents a forward-looking assessment of the price, incorporating a wider range of factors and potential future events. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional financial analysis.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of the price of XRP being below $0.80 on Oct 31, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and reliable cryptocurrency exchange. The market will determine whether the XRP price is below $0.80 at the specified time. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements and factors that could influence the final outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Major regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as rulings on its security status, could have a substantial impact. Significant partnerships or adoption of XRP by large institutions could also drive up the price. Conversely, negative news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, or broader market downturns in the cryptocurrency space could push the price lower. Overall macroeconomic conditions and shifts in investor sentiment towards risk assets will also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.