TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many spot price expectations for XRP. While analysts and polls suggest a wide range of potential price movements, this market concentrates those expectations into a probabilistic forecast. The implied probabilities in this market represent the collective wisdom of traders, who are putting their capital behind their beliefs about the future price of XRP. This provides a unique, real-money signal that differs from traditional sentiment indicators.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the XRP price will be above a certain level on October 28. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the changing consensus of the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly translates into an implied probability, providing a clear and quantifiable view of market expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the XRP price as reported by a widely-recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 28. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market events, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legislation, would likely have a substantial impact. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also drive price movements. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, could also influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected technical developments or security breaches related to the XRP network could also cause volatility.