TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price that may differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst predictions. This market represents a weighted average of numerous individual predictions, potentially capturing insights not readily available elsewhere. While spot prices are determined by immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates forward-looking expectations. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information access, or simply the diverse perspectives of traders participating in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts that pay out based on the final XRP price. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume contribute to price discovery, offering a transparent view of market sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding potential XRP price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source at the specified time. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the final XRP price. The market’s resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal interpretations, would likely cause substantial price movement. Significant adoption of XRP by institutions or large corporations could also drive up demand and shift market sentiment. Conversely, negative news, such as security breaches or unfavorable regulatory decisions, could lead to a decline in price. Overall macroeconomic conditions and broader cryptocurrency market trends will also play a role in shaping expectations within this market.