TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on what traders believe the XRP price will be on Oct 24, 2026. These expectations are often distinct from those reflected in traditional spot markets or analyst forecasts. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing insights not captured by individual opinions or models. It's important to note that prediction markets aren't necessarily about predicting the *correct* price, but rather reflecting the collective belief of participants willing to put capital behind their views.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of XRP reaching a certain price on Oct 24, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe XRP will be higher, the price of 'yes' shares increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as reported by a widely-recognized and trusted exchange at a specified time on that date. The specific price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying market outcomes. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual XRP price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, regulatory developments concerning XRP, broader cryptocurrency market trends, and macroeconomic events could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from key industry figures or significant technological advancements related to the XRP ledger could also cause substantial price movements. Keep an eye on these developments, as they are likely to be reflected in the trading activity and odds within this market.