TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the future price of XRP. If the implied probability of a certain price range in this market is significantly different from analyst forecasts or polling data, it suggests a divergence in sentiment. This can be valuable information for anyone trying to understand the potential direction of XRP's price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the XRP price on October 23. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe XRP will be above a certain price, the higher the contracts predicting that outcome will trade, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual XRP price. It’s important to monitor news and developments related to XRP leading up to this date, as these could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory decisions impacting XRP, partnerships with significant companies, or broader market trends within the cryptocurrency space could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the legal battle between Ripple and the SEC, or a sudden surge in XRP trading volume, could also lead to substantial shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.