TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, the odds in this market suggest a high probability that the price of XRP will be less than $0.90 on Oct 22, 2026. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and traditional financial analysis. Prediction markets, however, incorporate a wider range of information, including news events, regulatory changes, and even sentiment analysis, to arrive at a forecast. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and those derived from conventional sources, offering a unique perspective on potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as recorded on a widely recognized cryptocurrency exchange at a specified time on that date. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by Polymarket’s established procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s prediction. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 22, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory decisions related to XRP, particularly from the SEC, would likely cause substantial price swings. Positive developments in Ripple’s legal battles or partnerships with financial institutions could also drive up the price. Conversely, negative news, such as security breaches or unfavorable court rulings, could push the price down. Broader macroeconomic trends, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, could also play a role in shaping the outcome of this market.