TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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XRP price on October 21?
polymarket

XRP price on October 21?

Volume:
$1,375

1.30-1.40

 - Polymarket

1.30-1.40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50-1.60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.90-1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the XRP price market dashboard provides a real-time view of trader sentiment regarding the price of XRP on October 21. It tracks the current odds, allowing you to see the probability that traders assign to various price ranges. The dashboard also displays the market's price history, showing how the odds have shifted over time, and the 24-hour volume, indicating how much trading activity is occurring. Currently, the volume is $735 and the total volume is $1,375.

Prediction market odds in this market represent a different kind of expectation than typical spot price forecasts from analysts or polls. While analysts often provide a single point estimate, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders, expressed as a probability distribution across possible XRP prices. This provides a more nuanced view of potential outcomes. If the market strongly favors a particular price range, it suggests a high degree of confidence among traders, potentially differing from the views expressed in traditional financial forecasts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final XRP price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the probability that the XRP price will fall within the ranges offered in the market, and the 24-hour volume indicates the level of trading activity and interest in this particular outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 21 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized exchange and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual price. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will be rewarded based on the odds at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal developments or partnerships, could cause substantial price swings. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum, often influence XRP's price as well. Unexpected macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, could also affect investor sentiment and drive trading activity in this market. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency are also potential catalysts.