TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations. While traditional financial analysts and polls may offer price targets based on fundamental or technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, or interpretations of future events impacting XRP. Observing how the market adjusts as new information emerges provides a unique signal beyond standard forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the XRP price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for potential outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific price range is likely, the higher the contract price for that outcome will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of XRP as reported by a credible public source at a specific time. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting of the XRP price, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual XRP price on that date. This allows for a clear and unambiguous settlement of the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or adoption by financial institutions, would likely cause substantial price swings. Significant technological advancements related to the XRP Ledger, or broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic news, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, might also impact the XRP price and, consequently, this market.