TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
XRP price on October 14?
polymarket

XRP price on October 14?

Volume:
$1,222

1.30-1.40

 - Polymarket

1.30-1.40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.50-1.60

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80-1.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price market tracks the current implied probabilities for various price ranges on October 14. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $1,222. The 24-hour volume is also displayed, showing $687 worth of trading activity. This allows you to see how sentiment is shifting as traders buy and sell contracts predicting the XRP price.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price on October 14. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of XRP falling within specific price bands. Comparing this to spot price expectations, as derived from polls of analysts or futures markets, can reveal whether the crowd anticipates a different outcome than conventional wisdom. Discrepancies between this market and broader expectations can present potential trading opportunities, reflecting differing risk assessments.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges, and the prices of these contracts adjust based on supply and demand. As more traders bet on a particular outcome, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, creating a real-time forecast for the XRP price on October 14.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 14 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. Traders who correctly predicted the XRP price range will receive a payout proportional to their stake and the market’s payout structure, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 14, 2026. Major news regarding the SEC lawsuit against Ripple Labs, updates on XRP adoption by financial institutions, or broader macroeconomic factors impacting the cryptocurrency market could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected regulatory changes, significant technological advancements related to the XRP Ledger, or even large-scale market manipulation attempts could also cause substantial shifts in the odds within this market.