TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:19h:16m
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This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price on November 6. These odds represent what traders believe is the most likely outcome, based on their analysis of available information. Comparing this to spot price expectations, which are often derived from analyst reports and traditional financial forecasting, reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert opinions. If analysts generally predict a higher price, this market’s odds might show a lower probability for those higher ranges, and vice versa, offering a unique perspective on potential price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price range being correct on November 6. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the collective intelligence of the participants, providing a real-time assessment of the potential XRP price. The current top outcome, with a chance of 51.5%, is that the price will fall within a specific range.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP on November 6, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted cryptocurrency exchange. The market will determine whether the price falls within one of the predefined ranges offered in the market. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the actual closing price, as verified against credible public sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments related to XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legislation, could cause a substantial shift in sentiment. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also drive price expectations higher. Conversely, negative news, such as security breaches or delays in technological advancements, could push the market towards lower price ranges. Overall market conditions within the broader cryptocurrency space and macroeconomic factors can also influence trading activity and the price of XRP.