TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:12h:59m
$
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price on November 5. These odds represent what traders believe is the most likely outcome, based on their analysis of available information. Comparing this to spot price expectations – derived from analyst forecasts or polls – reveals whether the market anticipates a different outcome than conventional wisdom. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently or believes traditional analysis is overlooking key factors influencing XRP's price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the odds change dynamically as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. The more a particular outcome is traded, the higher its probability becomes, and vice versa, ultimately shaping the market’s overall price prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on November 5 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP on that date, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the actual XRP price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal interpretations, could trigger substantial price swings. Significant adoption of XRP by financial institutions or increased usage in cross-border payments could also positively impact the market. Conversely, negative news, such as security breaches or unfavorable regulatory decisions, could lead to a decline in the price and shift the odds in this market. Overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies will also play a role.