TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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XRP price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

XRP price at Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$47,617

$1.27991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.27991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,464
N/A
N/A
$2,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$555
N/A
N/A
$354
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,680
N/A
N/A
$1,677
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,713
N/A
N/A
$4,927
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,802
N/A
N/A
$4,505
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.77991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,487
N/A
N/A
$5,487
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,114
N/A
N/A
$1,992
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.39991 or above

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.61991 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
$884
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.49991 or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.45991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.43991 or above

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.79991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.81991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.83991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.85991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.87991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks the price of a specific cryptocurrency at a precise moment in the future, resolving based on whether the price exceeds various thresholds at that exact time. The outcome depends on real-time market data captured just before the specified deadline.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) price at exactly 5 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. The determining value is the simple average of the index over the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT. If this average exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Should pricing data be unavailable or incomplete at the exact expiration time, all affected markets resolve to 'No'. The Exchange defines the exact cryptocurrency version or ticker used for calculation, and the CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index serves as the continuous data source for major cryptocurrencies.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the XRP price market dashboard tracks the current implied probability of various price levels for XRP on October 23, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the price history as traders buy and sell contracts. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $24,805, and the total volume traded to date, which is $47,617. This allows you to see how sentiment around the XRP price is evolving and where the most trading activity is focused within this market.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations derived from analysts or polls. While traditional forecasts often rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the collective intelligence of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This creates a unique signal about the likelihood of different XRP price outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and broader expectations, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in conventional forecasts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy a 'yes' contract at) and asks (the price they are willing to sell a 'yes' contract at). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s consensus view on the probability of XRP reaching a specific price level by the resolution date. The closer the price is to $1, the higher the implied probability of that outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price at 5pm EDT on October 23, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the weighted average price of XRP across major cryptocurrency exchanges at that specific time. The contract will pay out $1 to the winning side – those who correctly predicted whether the XRP price will be above or below the specified level. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrency, particularly those impacting XRP, would likely have a substantial effect. Significant adoption of XRP by financial institutions or corporations could also drive price movement. Macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could influence investor sentiment towards risk assets like cryptocurrency. Finally, technological advancements or security breaches related to the XRP ledger could also impact trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.