TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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XRP price at Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

XRP price at Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$27,340

$1.29991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.29991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,513
N/A
N/A
$1,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$792
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,011
N/A
N/A
$5,419
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,735
N/A
N/A
$2,439
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,677
N/A
N/A
$3,584
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
$2,443
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.39991 or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$1,127
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$984
N/A
N/A
$973
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.49991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
$824
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.67991 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.43991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.45991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.71991 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.51991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.61991 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.87991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

The outcome depends on the price of XRP at a specific future moment, determined by averaging price data from a trusted source during a brief window before the exact timestamp. Multiple thresholds create different possible resolutions based on how high the price reaches at that moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 16, 2026. Each market has a specific price threshold; if the calculated average exceeds that threshold at the exact specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Data availability is critical—if the index does not provide complete data for the required one-minute window ending at 5 PM EDT on the target date, all affected markets resolve to No. The Exchange defines which version or ticker of XRP is tracked, and the CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index is the exclusive source for continuous pricing data used in all resolutions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the XRP price market dashboard tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for XRP on October 16, 2026. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $16,374. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded to date, which is $27,340. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within the XRP price market.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price that may differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst predictions. This market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders, potentially offering a more nuanced view than a single expert opinion. It’s important to remember that these are probabilistic forecasts, not definitive predictions, and represent the market's expectation of the most likely outcome as of today. Examining the difference between this market and broader expectations can reveal valuable insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment regarding the future XRP price.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price at 5pm EDT on October 16, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a widely recognized and publicly available source for XRP pricing data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct price range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The exact payout structure is defined by the contract terms on Kalshi.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Major developments in cryptocurrency regulation, particularly concerning XRP, would likely cause substantial price movement. Significant technological advancements or partnerships related to the XRP network could also impact the market. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall sentiment towards risk assets could also play a role. Unexpected news events affecting Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, would be another key catalyst for price fluctuations in this market.