TOTAL VOLUME:

$140.7b

24H VOL:

$180,834,902

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,543,053,589

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,611,295,620

421,525

Markets across

33,132

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,837

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$15,173,683
Volume 24h:
$3,028
380%
Liquidity:
$343,109
4%
Open interest:
$329,881N/A

$50M

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% APY not meaningful 81 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$50M

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
$26,859
$1,514,643
0.01%
0.2%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$50M

Trade
27%
Yes 27.8¢No 73.9¢
1.7¢
$46,383
$142,201
0%
0.01%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
opinion

$50M

Trade
23%
Yes 99.8¢No 77¢
76.8¢
N/A
$79,749
0.09%
0.09%
N/A
2mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27.5%
Yes 51.9¢No 74.6¢
Avg: 26.5¢Max: 76.8¢
polymarket

$100M

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$21,789
$1,742,350
0.01%
1%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$100M

Trade
23%
Yes 24¢No 78.6¢
2.6¢
$65,415
$1,031,840
0%
0.02%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
opinion

$100M

Trade
20%
Yes 35¢No 80¢
15¢
N/A
$284,968
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.2%
Yes 27.7¢No 78.5¢
Avg: 6.2¢Max: 15¢
polymarket

$200M

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$22,266
$644,441
0.11%
0.85%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$200M

Trade
15%
Yes 15.7¢No 85.4¢
1.1¢
$42,514
$83,645
0%
2%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
opinion

$200M

Trade
10%
Yes 98.8¢No 98.8¢
97.6¢
N/A
$76,762
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16.4%
Yes 43.8¢No 89.4¢
Avg: 33.2¢Max: 97.6¢
opinion

$400M

Trade
50%
Yes 99.9¢No 99.9¢
99.8¢
N/A
$4,429,144
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

$400M

Trade
7%
Yes 7.4¢No 94.4¢
1.8¢
$18,775
$912,172
0%
0.04%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$400M

Trade
6%
Yes 6.3¢No 93.8¢
0.1¢
$38,775
$176,457
0%
0.01%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.5%
Yes 37.9¢No 96¢
Avg: 33.9¢Max: 99.8¢
polymarket

$300M

Trade
7%
3%
Yes 9¢No 94.6¢
3.6¢
$22,847
$780,539
0.14%
0.33%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
predict

$300M

Trade
7%
Yes 7.2¢No 92.9¢
0.1¢
$37,487
$90,644
0.94%
0.98%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
opinion

$300M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
N/A
$3,184,127
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 6.4¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 3.6¢
Total markets: 15

Intro

This market tracks whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Puffpaw’s governance token will exceed $400M one day after its launch. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion is 50.0% that it will. The aggregated data is resolved against the most liquid price source available. A secondary outcome, Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch, is currently priced at 28.5%. Keep an eye on the token launch itself, as a fallback resolution to ‘No’ is in place if the token isn’t launched by December 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same FDV calculation, launch requirement, and resolution timing.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available

Core resolution logic:

  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price.
  • The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched.
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
  • If Puffpaw does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Public Trading: If the token launches but isn't actively traded on a public exchange, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Launch Date: The exact launch date is crucial; 'one day after launch' is strictly defined as 4:00 PM ET the following calendar day.
  • Data Source Failure: If no liquid price source is available, the resolution source will default to the most reliable available data, potentially introducing some subjectivity.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch, or December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occurs.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, the Puffpaw FDV market dashboard tracks predictions on whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of Puffpaw will exceed a certain threshold one day after its launch. Currently, there's a consensus view across these platforms, with a combined volume of $15,173,683 and 24-hour volume of $1,965. Polymarket currently favors Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 27.5%, while Predict leans toward Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 27.0%. This dashboard provides a consolidated view of sentiment regarding Puffpaw’s potential market capitalization.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the probability of a future event. These odds aren’t directly comparable to spot price expectations in the traditional sense, as they reflect beliefs about a future valuation rather than current market price. However, significant discrepancies between the implied probability from this market and observed market behavior could present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. The current pricing suggests a degree of uncertainty around Puffpaw’s initial valuation, as reflected by the trading volume.

Prices for this market can differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of participants with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to potentially divergent opinions on Puffpaw’s FDV. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—Polymarket has seen volume of $15,173,683—can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms address the same underlying question.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the fully diluted valuation of Puffpaw one day after its launch, as determined by publicly available data sources. The outcome will be assessed based on the FDV at a specific block height or time, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor relevant announcements and data releases as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Key catalysts include the official launch date of Puffpaw, any pre-launch marketing campaigns or partnerships, and initial trading volume on exchanges. Positive news regarding Puffpaw’s technology, team, or adoption rate could drive up the predicted FDV, while negative developments could have the opposite effect. Broader market sentiment towards crypto assets and similar projects will also play a role, as will any regulatory announcements impacting the sector. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding price movements in this market.