TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Crypto
XRP above ___ on October 8?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on October 8?

Volume:
$1,956

1.30

 - Polymarket

1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 12:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.40

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price on October 8 tracks the current implied probability of XRP being above a certain price point on that date. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $1,936. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, which is $1,546, giving you a sense of recent trading activity and interest. This allows you to quickly gauge market sentiment regarding the future price of XRP.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast about whether the XRP price will exceed a specific threshold on October 8. These odds represent what traders believe, based on available information, is the likelihood of that outcome. This differs from simply looking at the current spot price of XRP, which is a snapshot in time. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more forward-looking assessment than traditional market analysis or polls of individual analysts regarding the XRP price.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source at a specific time on October 8. The exact price point used for resolution is defined within the market's rules on Polymarket. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 8, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal developments in their SEC lawsuit, could cause substantial price swings. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events, regulatory changes impacting digital assets, or significant adoption announcements related to XRP could also shift the odds in this market. Keep an eye on these developments to understand potential movements.