TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast about whether the XRP price will exceed a specific threshold on October 8. These odds represent what traders believe, based on available information, is the likelihood of that outcome. This differs from simply looking at the current spot price of XRP, which is a snapshot in time. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more forward-looking assessment than traditional market analysis or polls of individual analysts regarding the XRP price.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source at a specific time on October 8. The exact price point used for resolution is defined within the market's rules on Polymarket. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 8, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal developments in their SEC lawsuit, could cause substantial price swings. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events, regulatory changes impacting digital assets, or significant adoption announcements related to XRP could also shift the odds in this market. Keep an eye on these developments to understand potential movements.