TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Crypto
XRP above ___ on October 6?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on October 6?

Volume:
$1,713

1.40

 - Polymarket

1.40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.40

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.50

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.30

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.60

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price on October 6 tracks the current implied probability of XRP being above a certain price point at the specified date. You’ll find a real-time view of the market’s odds, along with a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $372, giving you an indication of how actively this market is being traded. Total volume to date is $1,713.

Currently, the odds reflected in this market offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders forecasting the XRP price on October 6. Discrepancies between the prediction market price and broader analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors. It’s a way to gauge the collective wisdom of the crowd and see how it differs from conventional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 6 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on data from a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing. The market will determine whether XRP is trading above the specified price at the time of resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on their shareholding in the market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 6, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legislation, would likely have a substantial impact. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also drive price movement and shift the market’s odds. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, could also play a role. Unexpected technical developments or security breaches related to the XRP network could also influence trading activity.