TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a view on the future price of XRP that may differ from current spot prices or traditional analyst expectations. This market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders, offering a unique perspective on the likelihood of XRP exceeding a certain value on October 30. It's important to note that prediction markets aren’t necessarily about predicting whether XRP *will* reach a price, but rather what the probability is as assessed by those trading in this market. Comparing this to expert forecasts provides a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the XRP price will be above a certain level on October 30. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment among traders. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential XRP price.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price at a specified time on October 30, as reported by a widely recognized and reliable source for cryptocurrency pricing data. Traders will then be paid out or have their shares redeemed based on whether the XRP price met the conditions defined in the market.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding XRP, such as regulatory decisions, partnerships, or technological advancements, could cause substantial price swings. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial markets could also impact the XRP price and, consequently, the trading activity in this market. Any developments affecting the utility or adoption of XRP are likely to be key drivers.