TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders regarding the future price of XRP. If a significant number of traders believe XRP will rise, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially signaling a divergence from current market sentiment. It’s important to note that prediction markets aren’t necessarily about predicting the ‘correct’ price, but rather reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether XRP will be above a certain price on October 28. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the probability becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing opinions about the future XRP price.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP on October 28, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted financial data source. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major news regarding XRP, such as regulatory decisions, partnerships, or technological advancements, could all impact trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor risk appetite, will also play a role. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events could also indirectly influence the price of XRP and, consequently, the odds in this market.