TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market value, this market aggregates forward-looking predictions about XRP’s price on a specific date. If a majority of traders believe XRP will be above a certain threshold by Oct 23, 2026, the odds will reflect that sentiment, potentially differing from current market analysis or analyst forecasts. This disparity can highlight areas where the prediction market anticipates future movements not yet priced into the spot market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual XRP price on that date. The outcome is determined by objective data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory decisions concerning XRP, partnerships with significant companies, or broader market trends within the cryptocurrency space could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected technological developments related to the XRP ledger or shifts in macroeconomic conditions impacting risk assets could also play a role. Positive or negative news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, would likely have a substantial impact on the odds in this market.