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420,493

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XRP above ___ on October 14?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on October 14?

Volume:
$5,069

1.30

 - Polymarket

1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.40

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price on October 14 tracks the current implied probability of XRP being above a specified price point on that date. It displays the odds as they shift based on trader activity, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $5,069. You can also see the 24-hour volume, which is $3,371, giving you a sense of recent trading interest. This provides a real-time view of what traders believe about the future price of XRP.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief that XRP will be above a certain threshold on October 14. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which only represent the current market value. This market aggregates the informed opinions of many traders, potentially incorporating factors not immediately reflected in the spot price, such as upcoming regulatory decisions or technological developments. It’s a forward-looking indicator, unlike the spot price which is a snapshot in time.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of XRP being above the target price on October 14. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, indicating increased confidence in that outcome. Trading volume and the number of participants all influence the price discovery process, creating a dynamic and responsive market.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available and widely recognized source for the XRP price at the specified time. Traders will be able to see the final price and whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding XRP’s legal battles with the SEC, announcements of new partnerships or integrations, or broader macroeconomic trends affecting the cryptocurrency market could all cause shifts in the odds. Positive developments, such as favorable court rulings or increased adoption, would likely drive the price of shares up. Conversely, negative news, like regulatory setbacks or security breaches, could lead to a decline. Keep an eye on these signals as Oct 14, 2026 approaches.