TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
XRP above ___ on October 13?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on October 13?

Volume:
$4,877

1.30

 - Polymarket

1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.30

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.40

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.90

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2.00

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price on October 13 tracks the current implied probability of XRP being above a certain price point on that date. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart reflecting how the market has priced the outcome over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $3,504 and the total volume is $4,877. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and how it’s changing leading up to the resolution date.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief that XRP will be above a certain price on October 13. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and short-term trading activity. This market aggregates the informed opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the future price. The difference between the market’s implied probability and broader analyst expectations can reveal valuable insights into potential price movements.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether XRP will be above a certain price on October 13. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the event will occur, the higher the share price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 13 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for XRP pricing data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date as the probability can shift significantly.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding XRP, such as regulatory decisions, partnerships, or technological advancements, would likely impact the price and therefore the market. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial markets could also influence the XRP price and, consequently, this market’s odds.