TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief that XRP will be above a certain price on October 13. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and short-term trading activity. This market aggregates the informed opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the future price. The difference between the market’s implied probability and broader analyst expectations can reveal valuable insights into potential price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether XRP will be above a certain price on October 13. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the event will occur, the higher the share price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on October 13 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for XRP pricing data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date as the probability can shift significantly.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding XRP, such as regulatory decisions, partnerships, or technological advancements, would likely impact the price and therefore the market. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial markets could also influence the XRP price and, consequently, this market’s odds.