TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:16h:29m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations for XRP. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding the price on a specific future date. This creates a forward-looking assessment. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and analyst forecasts for the XRP price, it could signal an opportunity or a disagreement about future market conditions. It's important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the XRP price will be above a certain level on November 8. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the price will be above the target, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as recorded on a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on November 8. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments for XRP, such as SEC rulings or positive announcements from key jurisdictions, could have a substantial impact. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also drive price movement. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected technical developments or security breaches related to the XRP network could also influence trading activity in this market.