TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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XRP above ___ on November 7?
polymarket

Will XRP be above the price on November 7?

Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$176
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$80,414
20%
Open interest:
$176N/A

1.20

 - Polymarket

1.20 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:17h:41m

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on November 7?

75%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 75% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.20

Trade
75%
6%
Yes 78¢No 28¢
6¢
$9,585
$14
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.30

25%
1%
Yes 28¢No 78¢
6¢
$6,911
$162
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

0.80

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$11,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

0.90

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.00

99%
2%
Yes 99.9¢No 2.9¢
2.8¢
$7,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.10

97%
5%
Yes 98.8¢No 4.9¢
3.7¢
$7,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.40

5%
5%
Yes 7¢No 97¢
4¢
$7,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.50

2%
3%
Yes 3¢No 99.8¢
2.8¢
$6,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.60

2%
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.9¢
2.8¢
$6,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.70

1%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.9¢
2.7¢
$8,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
polymarket

1.80

1%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.9¢
2.7¢
$9,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 41m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast about whether the XRP price will be above a certain level on November 7. This differs from simply looking at the current spot price, as this market incorporates expectations about future price movements and potential catalysts. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the informed opinions of many traders, potentially offering a more nuanced view of future price expectations. It's a way to see what a crowd of individuals, incentivized to be accurate, believe will happen.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome, and the price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of XRP being above the target price on November 7. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand for these shares, meaning the odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges or sentiment changes. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price at a specified time on November 7, as determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available data source. The specific price used for resolution will be the prevailing price at the designated time, and this market will settle based on whether that price is above or below the threshold defined in the market's parameters. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, updates on XRP adoption by financial institutions, and broader cryptocurrency market trends are all potential catalysts. Positive regulatory developments or partnerships could drive the price up, while negative news or increased regulatory scrutiny could push it down. Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions or inflation data, could also influence the broader crypto market and, consequently, this market. Keep an eye on these events as we approach Nov 7, 2026.