TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:17h:41m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome, and the price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of XRP being above the target price on November 7. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand for these shares, meaning the odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges or sentiment changes. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the XRP price at a specified time on November 7, as determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available data source. The specific price used for resolution will be the prevailing price at the designated time, and this market will settle based on whether that price is above or below the threshold defined in the market's parameters. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, updates on XRP adoption by financial institutions, and broader cryptocurrency market trends are all potential catalysts. Positive regulatory developments or partnerships could drive the price up, while negative news or increased regulatory scrutiny could push it down. Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate decisions or inflation data, could also influence the broader crypto market and, consequently, this market. Keep an eye on these events as we approach Nov 7, 2026.